Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.150437 0.178421 0.209814 0.247590 0.291765 0.341739 0.402512
2025-07-06 0.106970 0.142059 0.185723 0.243850 0.318984 0.412592 0.537810
2025-07-13 0.087245 0.126203 0.178612 0.253833 0.358519 0.498473 0.699082
2025-07-20 0.076571 0.118817 0.179387 0.271795 0.408291 0.601357 0.893729
2025-07-27 0.067048 0.110667 0.176792 0.283187 0.448653 0.694335 1.084302
2025-08-03 0.057053 0.099681 0.167696 0.282581 0.469809 0.760260 1.241209
2025-08-10 0.047296 0.087198 0.154006 0.272108 0.473164 0.798014 1.357375
2025-08-17 0.038941 0.075563 0.139747 0.258197 0.468284 0.820896 1.450603
2025-08-24 0.034427 0.069984 0.134937 0.259549 0.488861 0.887072 1.621709
2025-08-31 0.029413 0.062594 0.125722 0.251513 0.491452 0.922109 1.741976
2025-09-07 0.026556 0.058941 0.122892 0.254814 0.514789 0.995581 1.937249
2025-09-14 0.023839 0.055117 0.119148 0.255723 0.533439 1.061980 2.125633
2025-09-21 0.020789 0.050266 0.113030 0.251860 0.543926 1.117264 2.305295
2025-09-28 0.018128 0.045833 0.107184 0.247871 0.553953 1.173410 2.494381
2025-10-05 0.016916 0.044535 0.107896 0.257985 0.594505 1.294380 2.825501
2025-10-12 0.016377 0.044761 0.112036 0.276222 0.654648 1.461520 3.268352
2025-10-19 0.015426 0.043778 0.113209 0.287789 0.701391 1.605355 3.676936
2025-10-26 0.013865 0.040917 0.109452 0.287174 0.720325 1.691393 3.970118
2025-11-02 0.011984 0.036831 0.102025 0.276539 0.714435 1.722035 4.144422
2025-11-09 0.010201 0.032661 0.093707 0.262412 0.698231 1.727413 4.261973
2025-11-16 0.009312 0.030922 0.091522 0.263785 0.720363 1.823454 4.598015
2025-11-23 0.008156 0.028141 0.086058 0.255625 0.717261 1.859392 4.795887
2025-11-30 0.007546 0.026951 0.084870 0.258977 0.744431 1.971135 5.187098